New COVID variant sparks crude oil price drop

Crude oil prices initially tumbled more than $10 to $68 a barrel on Friday after news of the omicron COVID-19 variant broke.

According to AAA’s Monday report, consumers caught a little break as the national average price for a gallon of gas dropped to $3.39, down a penny since last week.

“It’s too soon to tell if fears of a global economic slowdown caused by the omicron variant will push oil prices lower for the long term,” said Andrew Gross, AAA spokesperson in the press release. “But for now, the upward pricing pressure due to tightened supply and high demand seems to have abated, and that will likely result in pump prices stabilizing.”

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Monday’s national average of $3.39 is a penny less than a month ago and $1.27 more than a year ago.

Locally, gas prices have steadily increased in recent months, reaching new highs in early October and jumping again before the end of the month. The rising prices led Gov. Ron DeSantis to propose a $1 billion gas tax relief plan on Nov. 22.

Quick AAA Stats

The nation’s top 10 least expensive markets: Oklahoma ($2.95), Texas ($2.98), Arkansas ($3.02), Missouri ($3.04), Kansas ($3.04), Mississippi ($3.04), Kentucky ($3.06), South Carolina ($3.09), Tennessee ($3.10) and Wisconsin ($3.10).

The nation’s top 10 most expensive markets: California ($4.71), Hawaii ($4.35), Nevada ($3.96), Washington ($3.88), Oregon ($3.79), Arizona ($3.77), Alaska ($3.71), Idaho ($3.68), Utah ($3.67) and Pennsylvania ($3.59).

Florida ranks 25th at $3.34 per gallon.

AAA National Gas Price Comparison chart 2018-21 11-29-21

Oil Market Dynamics

In the AAA release, at the close of Friday’s formal trading session, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) decreased by $10.24 to settle at $68.15. Crude prices fell amid concerns about the new COVID-19 omicron variant and the travel restrictions announced by the Biden administration.

Before reports of the new variant, the Energy Information Administration’ (EIA) weekly report revealed that total domestic crude supply increased by 1 million barrels to 434 million barrels. However, prices rose last week despite President Biden’s announcement that the federal government will make available up to 32 million barrels of oil held in the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) and accelerate the timeline for the sale of an additional 18 million barrels of SPR oil, as mandated by Congress.

The effort is expected to be coordinated with the release of oil from other major crude consuming countries, including China, India, Japan, South Korea, and the U.K, to help reduce the price of crude. How much of a price impact, and how long the price relief at the pump will last, depends on the total amount of oil that moves into the market after the coordinated releases around the globe.

For this week, crude prices could decline further if the global market begins to see an increase in supply from the joint releases or EIA’s next report shows another increase in total domestic supply. Additionally, market watchers will keep their eye on the impact of the Omicron variant on the oil market.

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